Nairobi, Kenya – The East African region is expected to face drier-than-usual conditions between January and March 2025, according to a forecast from the Climate Prediction and Applications Center of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). This weather pattern will primarily affect countries including Ethiopia, Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, Burundi, and Tanzania.
The forecast indicates that the region will also experience warmer-than-usual temperatures during this period, with normal temperatures likely only in select areas of northern Uganda and western Sudan. Notably, only southern Tanzania and southwestern Uganda are projected to see wetter-than-usual conditions, highlighting the increasing climate variability due to climate change.
The Horn of Africa has been particularly hard hit by climate-related challenges, including droughts and floods. As temperatures rise to around 32 degrees Celsius, over 64 million people in the region required humanitarian assistance by late November due to ongoing conflicts and climate shocks.
This forecast serves as a critical reminder of the need for preparedness and adaptive strategies in response to changing climatic conditions across East Africa.